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(Image courtesy of NOAA) |
An important measure of the total overall seasonal activity is the NOAA
Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index, which accounts for the intensity and
duration of named storms and hurricanes during the season. We estimate a 70%
chance that the 2011 seasonal ACE range will be 105%-200% of the median.
According to NOAA's hurricane season classifications, an ACE value above 117% of
the 1950-2000 median reflects an above-normal season. An ACE value above 175% of
the median reflects an exceptionally active (or hyperactive) season.
Consistent with the expected ACE range, the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season is
expected (with 70% chance) to produce 12-18 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes, and
3-6 major hurricanes. Each of these ranges indicate that activity will exceed
the seasonal average of 11 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major
hurricanes. Therefore, this season could see activity comparable to a number of
extremely active seasons since 1995.
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Arlene |
Harvey |
Ophelia |
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Bret |
Irene |
Philippe |
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Cindy |
Jose |
Rina |
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Don |
Katia |
Sean |
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Emily |
Lee |
Tammy |
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Franklin |
Maria |
Vince |
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Gert |
Nate |
Whitney |
For more information:
Florida Hurricane Info
NOAA
FEMA
Center for Disease Control - CDC

